Riding around with a drunk driver

The revenue multiple disconnect shown above is supported by a cheap absolute valuation of the company which when including our forward cash flow estimates trades for only 4.0x our 2010 earnings estimate, or a 25% free cash flow yield. The analysis below simplifies ThinkorSwim’s income statement by reducing the education division’s sales and expenses into a single line item which reflects net marketing expenses created via investor education. Cash balance builds in 2008 and 2009 assuming no cash income taxes are paid due to a large net operating loss carryforward.

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